By North Carolina Judicial Branch
Adult Correctional Population Projections
Future correctional facility population projections in order to inform and determine resource needs.
Files
Population Projections: Fiscal Year 2018 to Fiscal Year 2027
Prison Population Projections: Fiscal Year 2016/17 to 25/26
Prison Population Projections: Fiscal Year 2015/16 to 24/25
Prison Population Projections: Fiscal Year 2014/15 to 23/24
Prison Population Projections: Fiscal Year 2013/14 to 22/23
Prison Population Projections: Fiscal Year 2012/13 to 21/22
Prison Population Projections: Fiscal Year 2011/12 to 20/21
Prison Population Projections: Fiscal Year 2010/11 to 19/20
Prison Population Projections: Fiscal Year 2009/10 to 18/19
Prison Population Projections: Fiscal Year 2008/09 to 17/18
Prison Population Projections: Fiscal Year 2007/08 to 16/17
Prison Population Projections: Fiscal Year 2006/07 to 15/16
Prison Population Projections: Fiscal Year 2005/06 to 14/15
Prison Population Projections: Fiscal Year 2004/05 to 13/14
Prison Population Projections: Fiscal Year 2003/04 to 12/13
Prison Population Projections: Fiscal Year 2002/03 to 11/12
Summary
The Sentencing Commission was mandated to develop a computerized simulation model to be used to prepare prison population projections. It prepares projections on an annual basis in conjunction with the Department of Public Safety’s Division of Adult Correction and Juvenile Justice, which are used to help determine long‐term resource needs. The simulation model uses empirical information about how offenders are processed through the criminal justice system to produce the projections. For the majority of the past decade, the accuracy of the prison population projections has been within 2%.